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  • Infrascope 2025/26
    Infrascope 2025/26

    Nicaragua

    Score: 34.1
    out of 100
    Rank: 18th
    out of 26 countries

    Despite having an established public-private partnership (PPP) regulatory framework, Nicaragua has struggled to translate it into sustained project activity, reflecting limited political commitment and institutional capacity. Infrastructure investment has continued, but largely outside traditional PPP arrangements. This divergence underscores Nicaragua's persistent difficulty in attracting private participation through its PPP framework, with little substantive progress since the previous assessment.

    NIC_name
    MACRO ENVIRONMENT
    Population, 20257.0m
    Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit
    GDP (US$), 2025$22.2bn
    Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit
    Sovereign risk rating, Oct 2026BB-
    Source: S&P Global Ratings
    PPP INVESTMENT
    Number, 2016-25*-
    Source: IJ Global‡
    Total (US$), 2016-25-
    Source: IJ Global‡
    % of all infrastructure investment, 2016-25†-
    Source: IJ Global,‡ Infralatam, Economist Enterprise
    * Number of projects that reached financial close, including subnational projects. † Value of infrastructure PPPs (see definition in IJ Global footnote) divided by total infrastructure spending (estimated using Infralatam’s public sector estimates and Economist Impact calculations), averaged over the past ten years. ‡ Source: IJ Global, cross-checked with the World Bank PPI database. Data may include projects that are developed under PPP, sectoral or concession laws, with differences among countries. Focuses on greenfield and brownfield projects; excludes asset acquisition, company acquisition, securitization and refinancing transactions.
    Policies and institutions
    Nicaragua's PPP framework is governed by Law No. 935 (2016) and its implementing regulations (2017), which establish procedures for project selection, procurement, risk allocation and contract management.1,2 The Ministry of Finance and Public Credit, through its General Directorate of Public Investment (DGIP), oversees the framework and evaluates proposed projects. However, dedicated PPP staffing and operational capacity remain limited. The Public Procurement Law (2025) modernized general procurement rules while preserving separate arrangements for concessions governed by special legislation.3 Despite an established regulatory foundation, Nicaragua has made little progress on developing the institutional capacity and project preparation mechanisms needed to implement PPPs.
    Recent market developments
    Nicaragua's PPP market remains largely inactive, with no new PPP projects identified as reaching financial close in recent years. Infrastructure investment has nevertheless continued, supported by public spending, foreign financing and some private participation through sector-specific arrangements outside the general PPP framework. These developments have not translated into a revival of the country's PPP market. Separately, Law No. 1203 (2024) repealed the previous interoceanic canal concession agreement and its enabling legislation, while retaining the legal framework for potential canal development.4 Despite the continued need for infrastructure investment, there is little evidence of a pipeline of new PPP projects advancing toward procurement or financial close.
    Political and public support
    Political support for PPPs remains weak, with no sustained government agenda or evidence of broader multiparty support. Vocal opposition to PPPs has not been identified, although restrictions on political opposition and civil society limit the significance of this finding.5 Constitutional reforms adopted in 2025 removed the previous explicit reference to promoting legislation for public-private infrastructure projects, replacing it with broader language supporting domestic and foreign investment.6 The Constitution continues to permit private investment and operating concessions in public services and infrastructure, while designating road, port and airport infrastructure as state property.7 Despite continued government interest in infrastructure investment and foreign financing, these developments suggest limited political momentum for PPPs rather than outright opposition.
    Notable strengths
    Nicaragua performs near the regional average in regulations and institutions, with particularly strong provisions governing contract disputes, variations and oversight of contractual changes. It ranks above average for fairness and openness of contract changes, although these protections remain largely untested in practice. The country also has relatively extensive requirements for environmental risk analysis and disaster preparedness across major infrastructure sectors. However, weaknesses elsewhere in environmental and social sustainability and disaster risk management limit its overall performance in these areas.
    Notable challenges
    Nicaragua faces significant challenges in translating its PPP framework into functioning institutions and projects. Political support ranks 25th regionally, while limited dedicated staffing and technical capacity constrain institutional readiness. Project preparation is another major weakness, with inadequate preparation facilities, limited technical support and shortcomings in land administration. These weaknesses contribute to Nicaragua's poor performance in project preparation and sustainability, which trails the regional average considerably, and help explain the country's limited track record of PPP implementation.
    Recent progress
    Nicaragua's overall score has remained virtually unchanged since the previous assessment, reflecting limited progress on strengthening its PPP framework or developing an active market. Financing conditions have improved modestly, including a reduction in the cost of capital, although overall financing performance remains below the regional average. Meanwhile, institutional and political risk has deteriorated, reinforcing persistent challenges to private investment. Recent changes to procurement and environmental regulations have not substantially altered Nicaragua's PPP-specific institutional arrangements or translated into renewed PPP activity.

    Top five recommendations for progress

    (ordered according to index category)

    1
    Strengthen political commitment to PPPs
    The government should demonstrate renewed commitment to PPPs through a clear policy agenda, public commitments from senior officials and sustained engagement across political parties. This would provide clearer policy direction and strengthen confidence in the country's commitment to PPP development.
    Timeline to achieve
    Short term
    Difficulty to achieve
    Low
    Impact on category 1: Regulations and institutions
    Nicaragua: current score
    69.1
    Score with recommendation applied
    73.3
    020406080100
    2
    Strengthen the PPP unit's dedicated capacity
    Strengthen the DGIP’s PPP capabilities by assigning dedicated technical, financial and legal specialists and providing PPP-specific training and certification. This would improve institutional readiness to identify, prepare and oversee potential projects.
    Timeline to achieve
    Medium term
    Difficulty to achieve
    Medium
    Impact on category 1: Regulations and institutions
    Nicaragua: current score
    69.1
    Score with recommendation applied
    85.8
    020406080100
    3
    Strengthen infrastructure planning and project appraisal
    Build on Nicaragua's existing development framework by publishing a long-term national infrastructure plan and establishing clear PPP prioritization criteria. Develop standardized methodologies for assessing project feasibility, fiscal affordability and value for money.
    Timeline to achieve
    Medium term
    Difficulty to achieve
    High
    Impact on category 2: Project preparation and sustainability
    Nicaragua: current score
    21.1
    Score with recommendation applied
    30.3
    020406080100
    4
    Expand PPP project preparation support and development funds
    Establish dedicated mechanisms to support PPP preparation and transaction structuring, potentially building on existing public investment institutions. Explicitly extend the Fondo de Preinversión's eligibility and financing to PPP feasibility studies and project development to address preparation gaps.
    Timeline to achieve
    Long term
    Difficulty to achieve
    Medium
    Impact on category 2: Project preparation and sustainability
    Nicaragua: current score
    21.1
    Score with recommendation applied
    35.7
    020406080100
    5
    Publish a PPP pipeline to improve transparency
    Establish a publicly accessible pipeline of prospective PPP projects, with regular updates on their preparation and procurement status. Providing consistent, project-level information would help potential investors identify opportunities, assess their readiness and plan participation.
    Timeline to achieve
    Medium term
    Difficulty to achieve
    Low
    Impact on category 4: Risk management and contract monitoring
    Nicaragua: current score
    36.4
    Score with recommendation applied
    42.6
    020406080100
    Assessment guidance:
    Short term: achievable in months (ie, straightforward activities such as procedural updates)
    Medium term: up to a year (ie, moderately involved activities such as building web platforms)
    Long term: more than a year (ie, time-consuming activities such as new legislation/institutions)
    Difficulty/complexity: rated as low/medium/high—often mirrors the time frame, but can differ based on how technical it is, how many resources are needed and how politically challenging it is, etc.
    1. https://www.leybook.com/doc/18518
    2. https://www.leybook.com/doc/18811
    3. https://www.leybook.com/doc/33924
    4. https://www.leybook.com/doc/32667
    5. https://www.idea.int/democracytracker/report/nicaragua/january-2025
    6. https://www.leybook.com/doc/33889
    7. https://www.asamblea.gob.ni/assets/constitucion.pdf

    Infrascope 2025/26

    Score 0–100 where 100 = best, rank out of 26 countries

    Nascent

    0 to <30

    Emerging

    30 to <60

    Developed

    60 to <80

    Mature

    80 to 100
    0102030405060708090100
    Infrascope 2025/26
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