Infrascope 2025/26
Guatemala
Score: 51.1
out of 100
Rank: 13th
out of 26 countries
Guatemala has made meaningful progress on revitalizing its public-private partnership (PPP) program, with recent legislative reforms strengthening its institutional framework, broadening project development opportunities and reflecting broad political support. Construction of a major highway project also marks an important step in these efforts. While its PPP market remains relatively small, these developments provide a foundation for expanding private participation in infrastructure.
MACRO ENVIRONMENT
Population, 202518.7m
Source: The Economist Intelligence UnitGDP (US$), 2025$123.3bn
Source: The Economist Intelligence UnitSovereign risk rating, Oct 2026BB+
Source: S&P Global RatingsPPP INVESTMENT
Number, 2016-25*2
Source: IJ Global‡Total (US$), 2016-25$120m
Source: IJ Global‡% of all infrastructure investment, 2016-25†1%
Source: IJ Global,‡ Infralatam, Economist EnterprisePPP INVESTMENT BY SECTOR (US$), 2016-25
Renewables$120m
Policies and institutions
Guatemala established its PPP framework through legislation adopted in 2010 and accompanying regulations in 2011.1,2 Reforms enacted in 2025 strengthened the framework and reorganized the National Agency of Partnerships for the Development of Economic Infrastructure (ANADIE) into the National Infrastructure Agency (ANI), overseen by the National Infrastructure Council (formerly CONADIE).3 ANI coordinates PPP development and procurement, while the council oversees the program, approves projects and coordinates participating public institutions. More broadly, the 2025 reforms aimed to facilitate PPP development and expand PPP opportunities for municipalities and infrastructure in health, education and water.4
Recent market developments
Guatemala's PPP market remains relatively small, although implementation of the Escuintla–Puerto Quetzal highway has advanced. Construction began in July 2024, several years after the project's award, marking an important milestone for PPPs in the country, but property acquisition and electricity infrastructure relocation have delayed completion.5,6 Meanwhile, ANI has expanded its efforts to develop a more diversified project pipeline. Its August 2026 sector plan identified ten strategic proposals spanning transport, electricity transmission, waste management, regional airports and public facilities, following a broader screening and prioritization exercise.7,8 These projects remain at early stages of development, while longer-standing proposals, including La Aurora International Airport modernization and a government administrative center, continue through preparation.9
Political and public support
Political support for PPPs has strengthened under the current administration (2024 to present), which has emphasized private investment in infrastructure development. The 2025 reforms ultimately received broad legislative backing, with 129 lawmakers voting in favor, despite disagreements that delayed passage.10,11 This represents an important commitment to strengthening the PPP framework, given historical difficulties advancing projects through congressional approval.12 Translating this political consensus into a sustained record of project approvals and implementation remains an important next step. While there is little evidence of sustained opposition to PPPs as a policy instrument, disagreements over private-sector representation in their governance have surfaced.13 Sustaining political commitment and effective stakeholder engagement will be important as Guatemala seeks to advance its project pipeline.
Notable strengths
Guatemala performs relatively well in the regulations and institutions category, supported by its newly strengthened PPP institutions, basic guidance for interagency coordination and a public registry for awarded projects. It also exceeds the regional average in risk management and contract monitoring, reflecting clear provisions for risk allocation and lenders' step-in rights, alongside regular reporting on ongoing projects. These arrangements provide a useful foundation for PPP oversight, although the effectiveness of the recently reorganized institutions and broader contract-management framework remains relatively untested.
Notable challenges
Despite recent progress, the project preparation and sustainability category remains Guatemala's principal weakness, particularly project selection, where it ranks among the region's lowest performers. Feasibility and economic assessments are required, but the framework lacks systematic needs assessments, clear prioritization criteria and standardized appraisal tools, although ANI's expanded mandate and resources could help address these gaps. Elsewhere, key provisions governing contract variations and renegotiations are lacking, and environmental and social sustainability remains underdeveloped, with limited requirements to incorporate climate resilience and social inclusion into PPP planning.
Recent progress
Guatemala recorded the region's third-largest overall score improvement, including a 9.8-point gain in project preparation and sustainability, the second-largest in that category. The 2025 reforms introduced provisions for unsolicited proposals and restructured ANI's capital fund, introducing dedicated accounts and allowing unused balances to carry forward.14 The fund has also received resources earmarked for pre-investment studies, while ANADIE has advanced project preparation work, helping address obstacles to bankable PPPs.15,16 Other advances include stronger land administration arrangements, new requirements to assess PPP suitability, and PPP-specific training among agency staff.
Top five recommendations for progress
(ordered according to index category)
1
Establish clearer procedures for contract variations and renegotiations
Introduce predefined mechanisms for routine contract adjustments and clearer rules governing renegotiations, including compensation and penalties where appropriate. Establish higher-level approval requirements for material contract changes to strengthen oversight, predictability and accountability throughout PPP implementation.
Timeline to achieve
Medium term
Difficulty to achieve
Medium
Impact on category 1: Regulations and institutions
Guatemala: current score
86.1
Score with recommendation applied
95.8
2
Strengthen project selection and standardize appraisal methodologies
Establish systematic needs assessments and transparent criteria for prioritizing PPP projects against national infrastructure objectives. Develop standardized methodologies and tools for cost-benefit, value-for-money and fiscal affordability assessments to ensure more consistent project selection and procurement decisions.
Timeline to achieve
Medium term
Difficulty to achieve
High
Impact on category 2: Project preparation and sustainability
Guatemala: current score
35.4
Score with recommendation applied
49.5
3
Integrate climate resilience and social inclusion into PPP planning
Introduce explicit criteria for assessing climate resilience and social inclusion during PPP identification and selection. Develop guidance that incorporates national climate commitments, gender equity, employment opportunities and participation by smaller businesses into project preparation and evaluation.
Timeline to achieve
Short term
Difficulty to achieve
Low
Impact on category 2: Project preparation and sustainability
Guatemala: current score
35.4
Score with recommendation applied
54.1
4
Require environmental and disaster risk assessments for PPP projects
Require PPP feasibility studies to assess risks posed by environmental conditions and natural disasters, alongside existing environmental impact assessments. Establish standardized guidance for incorporating disaster risk mitigation, preparedness and resilience measures into project planning and design.
Timeline to achieve
Medium term
Difficulty to achieve
Low
Impact on category 4: Risk management and contract monitoring
Guatemala: current score
59.5
Score with recommendation applied
67.8
5
Standardize PPP performance monitoring and reporting
Develop common templates and procedures for monitoring service quality and operational performance across PPP projects, building on existing reporting requirements. Establish downloadable data formats to support transparent reporting and analysis as projects enter operation.
Timeline to achieve
Medium term
Difficulty to achieve
Medium
Impact on category 5: Performance evaluation and impact (ex-post)
Guatemala: current score
27.6
Score with recommendation applied
38.7
Assessment guidance:
Short term: achievable in months (ie, straightforward activities such as procedural updates)
Medium term: up to a year (ie, moderately involved activities such as building web platforms)
Long term: more than a year (ie, time-consuming activities such as new legislation/institutions)
Difficulty/complexity: rated as low/medium/high—often mirrors the time frame, but can differ based on how technical it is, how many resources are needed and how politically challenging it is, etc.
1. https://anadie.gob.gt/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/Ley-de-Alianzas-para-el-Desarrollo-de-Infraestructura-Economica-Decreto-16-2010.pdf
2. https://anadie.gob.gt/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/Reglamento-Ley-de-Alianzas-Acuerdo-Gubernativo-360-2011.pdf
3. https://www.congreso.gob.gt/detalle_pdf/decretos/13690
4. https://www.congreso.gob.gt/noticias_congreso/14935/2025/4
5. https://dca.gob.gt/noticias-guatemala-diario-centro-america/conadie-aprobo-la-adjudicacion-de-la-autopista-escuintla-puerto-quetzal/
6. https://anadie.gob.gt/project/autopista-escuintla-puerto-quetzal/
7. https://dca.gob.gt/noticias-guatemala-diario-centro-america/1257354/
8. https://agn.gt/guatemala-cuenta-con-un-nuevo-portafolio-de-10-proyectos-por-medio-de-alianzas-publico-privadas/
9. https://anadie.gob.gt/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/CARTERA-2025-S2.pdf
10. https://www.congreso.gob.gt/noticias_congreso/14947/2025/
11. https://www.prensalibre.com/guatemala/politica/oficialismo-pierde-el-pulso-para-sacar-al-cacif-de-la-ley-de-anadie/
12. https://guatemala.gob.gt/consejo-de-alianzas-publico-privadas-pide-aprobacion-de-proyectos-de-infraestructura/
13. https://www.congreso.gob.gt/noticias_congreso/14911/2025/
14. https://anadie.gob.gt/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Decreto-21-2025-29.12.2025.pdf
15. https://www.minfin.gob.gt/wp-content/uploads/downloads/informes_gestion/2cuatri24/anadie1.pdf
16. https://www.congreso.gob.gt/noticias_congreso/13144/2025/4
Infrascope 2025/26
Score 0–100 where 100 = best, rank out of 26 countries
Nascent
0 to <30
Emerging
30 to <60
Developed
60 to <80
Mature
80 to 100
Case study
Guatemala’s transition toward a new PPP framework
After more than a decade of limited PPP delivery, Guatemala has overhauled its legal and institutional framework. The reforms seek to overcome longstanding bottlenecks in project preparation and approval, offering lessons on turning infrastructure pipelines into investable projects.