
Global research to prepare for an increasingly challenging world
As climate pressures intensify, FM’s global research network is equipping businesses with the tools and insights needed to adapt

In 2024, the hottest year on record, extreme weather events accelerated in scale and frequency.¹ The month of September alone saw major flood events across three continents – triggered by unprecedented heavy rains in Africa, Typhoon Yagi in Asia, and Storm Boris in Europe – which resulted in over 1,500 fatalities and incurred costs exceeding US$15bn.²
Although climate change is a major driver of such events, urbanisation plays a role in the impact they have. As cities grow denser, urban drainage systems struggle to cope. The combination of intensified rainfall, extreme heat and growing urban populations shows how complex and far-reaching climate risks have become, and how this heightens the consequences for people, communities and infrastructure worldwide. However, it is clear that preparation can soften the impact of extreme weather. FM’s researchers emphasise the need for a constantly updated, global approach to risk modelling, powered by the latest data.
“Physical dynamics are changing in ways we can’t simply extrapolate from the past,” explains Angelika Werner, research area director of climate risk and resilience at FM. “We need to start implementing more forward-thinking views, looking at what changes we foresee in the next five to ten years. If a client wants to invest in flood protection today, we want to ensure that it will also protect against flood risk ten years from now.”

From macro to micro
FM’s international research network is dedicated to helping businesses adapt to these evolving risks, ensuring that risk management strategies grow alongside our changing climate. “Our goal is to create an integrated, consistent and collaborative experience; one where research, client learning and risk reduction all happen together, seamlessly across the world,” says Louis Gritzo, FM’s chief science officer.
The regional expertise of FM’s research institutes gives its network a global reach. The Americas centre in Massachusetts models risks such as floods and storm surges, while the Asia-Pacific centre in Singapore addresses extreme rain and typhoons, which are expected to double in destructive power in Asia this century.³ A new centre, opening in Luxembourg in 2027, will focus on risks across Europe, the Middle East and Africa, such as flooding and severe convective storms.

These centres will be connected through an interactive digital platform, which will allow clients to digitally visit a site, observe research in progress, view tests or calculations being performed, and interact in real time with research teams at any one of FM’s worldwide facilities.
“With our tools, we can closely examine flood risk at specific site locations,” says Dr Werner. “When we already know there’s a high risk of flooding, we can use high-resolution models to simulate how the flood wave builds up, based on the rainfall entered into the tool. This allows us to create a detailed, time-lapse view of how the flood develops.”
Every insight from each individual location can become applicable globally, with a uniform method used by engineers collecting data across the world. “We want to ensure a global, consistent approach – whether you look at flood risk in Asia or Europe, the underlying logic must always be the same, although the regional drivers, like monsoons, cyclones, or thunderstorms, may be very different,” Dr Werner points out.
“With hundreds or even thousands of locations to manage, it becomes extremely challenging to know where to focus your time, resources and capital – clients need quality data and precise recommendations to help them prioritise and make smart investment decisions,” says Pentti Tofte, senior vice president for innovation, analytics and AI at FM.

Harnessing emerging technologies
FM’s interdisciplinary teams, comprising field engineers, researchers, data scientists and data engineers, work together to assess climate risk from every angle. Their approach, described by Dr Gritzo as a “three-legged stool”, rests on high-quality data, deep understanding of physical processes and strong AI-driven predictive models. One initiative, the Global Flood Map, uses physics-based models combined with climate, land use and site data to deliver worldwide flood risk assessments.
“We spend a lot of time thinking about incorporating AI and machine learning into traditional scientific research,” says Mr Tofte. FM recognises the need to invest heavily in machine learning and deep learning algorithms to boost insights and operational efficiency. In recent years, new technologies such as drone imagery and digital twin models have transformed risk management, offering faster terrain assessments and more accurate forecasts.
FM leverages over a billion data points, collected by the company’s engineers from commercial facilities and from historical loss data, to build predictive AI engines that are capable of identifying vulnerabilities even during first-time inspections. Its Climate Resilience Tracker helps businesses to assess current and future climate risks, projecting threats up to 2030 and 2050, including extreme weather, wildfire and structural collapse. By downscaling large-scale climate models to specific sites, FM enables companies to prioritise resilience investments more effectively.

Early and effective
FM’s risk management philosophy is built on the belief that most losses are preventable through a deep understanding of hazards and practical, cost-effective mitigation strategies, informed by the best data and forecasts. Companies must not underestimate risks that seem distant – simple measures, such as reinforcing roofs against hurricane damage, can dramatically reduce losses at minimal cost. “We distinguish between inherent risk and actionable risk,” explains Mr Tofte. “Your building may be on a coast where it’s exposed to hurricanes, but the risk can be minimised by protecting the building so it can withstand the storm.”

Being prepared is important – well before an event, immediately before impact and in its aftermath. FM’s work with Coca-Cola Consolidated in Tennessee highlights this. With its facility located next to an environmentally protected waterway, the company could not alter the floodplain or redirect water. But internal flood barriers and measures to channel water away from critical equipment saw the facility withstand extreme rainfall in 2021 with minimal downtime. “It’s a perfect example of how fast-moving climate events, one of those major blind spots for companies, can be mitigated with proactive planning,” says Dr Gritzo.
FM also worked with Arthrex, a medical device company, to protect its facility in a hurricane-prone zone in Florida. The facility was able to remain fully operational during Hurricane Ian in 2022 thanks to proactive resilience improvements, even providing shelter and support to employees and the local community. Across FM projects, the message is clear: with foresight and preparation, businesses can dramatically reduce their exposure to climate-related losses, safeguard operations, and even strengthen their position in the region and community.
Discover how FM Intellium helps organisations identify vulnerabilities, understand interconnected risks and make more informed decisions.
References
¹ https://www.nasa.gov/news-release/temperatures-rising-nasa-confirms-2024-warmest-year-on-record/
² https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/09/epic-floods-are-wreaking-havoc-from-africa-to-asia-to-europe/
³ https://www.weforum.org/stories/2021/12/tropical-cyclones-asia-double-power-warming-climate-research
